Analysis: Recent Rocket Attack by Hezbollah takes Crisis to a Whole new Level

This entire quagmire in the Middle East has been one wrong calculation after another for Hezbollah leader Sheikh Hassan Nasserallah. He failed to predict that a new government in Israel already in a volatile situation in Gaza would respond as it did; he failed to predict that he will recieve no blind support from the Arab League for his adventure; and he failed to predict that not all of Lebanon would stand behind him in this needless 'adventure'. Now, this recent rocket attack in Israel hitting as deep as it did in Jezareel Valley in Israel, has pushed the conflict into a whole new level; representing another miscalculation by the usually calculated Hezbollah leader.

Before this recent attack, speculations within the Israeli intelligence community regarding Hezbollah's capabilities have been exactly that, speculations. As long as they remained as such, there was still a chance that the crisis could be scaled down to a prisoner swap; allowing each side to go back and lick its wounds, those with more and those with less.

However now that Israel's concerns have been realized, the kidnapped Israeli soldiers, as important as they are to Israel, take a second seat in the priorities of this conflict. There is no chance in hell that Israel will setlle for a simple prisoner swap now that it knows of Hezbollah's capabilities. The only way out of this conflict now is the full disarmament of Hezbollah for Israel will not leave this conflict before it knows perfectly well that it has handled the threat overshadowing her, which is Sheikh Hassan Nasserallah.

Tags:
Middle East, Peace, Lebanon, Israel, Hezbollah.